If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we’d like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Malibu Boats (NASDAQ:MBUU) we aren’t jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let’s have a deeper look.
For those who don’t know, ROCE is a measure of a company’s yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Malibu Boats:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets – Current Liabilities)
0.016 = US$10m ÷ (US$759m – US$143m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Malibu Boats has an ROCE of 1.6%. Ultimately, that’s a low return and it under-performs the Leisure industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Malibu Boats
In the above chart we have measured Malibu Boats’ prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you’d like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Malibu Boats .
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Malibu Boats doesn’t inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.6% from 28% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we’d be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven’t increased.
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Malibu Boats have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 10% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we’d consider looking elsewhere.
If you’re still interested in Malibu Boats it’s worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for MBUU to see if it’s trading at an attractive price in other respects.